State-Based Marketplaces Say Many Will Lose Affordable Coverage if Premium Assistance Expires
Updated July 20, 2022
The American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) has had a significant impact on the health insurance marketplaces, making coverage more affordable and accessible to millions of Americans. ARPA enhanced the tax credits available to marketplace consumers and removed the income cap for PTC eligibility. However, without Congressional action these provisions will expire at the end of 2022 — resulting in higher premiums that will lead many to forgo coverage.
The following resources highlight the impact of the ARPA subsidies on marketplace enrollment, coverage affordability, and consumer purchasing power.
State Fact Sheets
Click the state to see detailed information from the SBMs on ARPA’s impact or download the summary.
- California experienced record enrollment, with notable increases in African American, Asian, and Latino populations compared to their levels in 2020.
- Without ARPA, ~1 million California consumers ≤250% FPL would see their premiums more than double on average; premiums for those over 400% FPL will increase by an average 71%.
- ~150,000 middle-income Californians would lose access to subsidies, resulting in average premium increases of $272 per member per month.
- California fact sheet (PDF)
- California member stories and testimonials (PDF)
- Americans Brace for Higher Health Insurance Costs if American Rescue Plan Is Allowed to Expire (PDF)
- Letter to California Congressional Delegation (PDF)
- Estimated Impact by Congressional District (spreadsheet)
- Impact for Middle-Income Earners (PDF)
- Press Release on Inflation Reduction Act (PDF)
- California experienced record enrollment, with notable increases in African American, Asian, and Latino populations compared to their levels in 2020.
- Without ARPA, ~1 million California consumers ≤250% FPL would see their premiums more than double on average; premiums for those over 400% FPL will increase by an average 71%.
- ~150,000 middle-income Californians would lose access to subsidies, resulting in average premium increases of $272 per member per month.
- California fact sheet (PDF)
- California member stories and testimonials (PDF)
- Americans Brace for Higher Health Insurance Costs if American Rescue Plan Is Allowed to Expire (PDF)
- Letter to California Congressional Delegation (PDF)
- Estimated Impact by Congressional District (spreadsheet)
- Impact for Middle-Income Earners (PDF)
- Press Release on Inflation Reduction Act (PDF)
Consumer Stories
Check out these testimonials collected by SBMs to understand ARPA’s impact on consumers.
Download consumer stories and testimonials collected by SBMs (PDF) or click on each state to download their member stories:
- California (PDF)
- DC (PDF)
- Maryland (PDF)
- Massachusetts (PDF)
- Pennsylvania (PDF)
Other Resources
Stakeholder Support Letters
Reports and Other Resources
- Blue Cross Blue Shield Association Analysis Shows Premium Costs Could Rise More than 20% or Even Double If Congress Does Not Extend Affordable Care Act Tax Credits, Blue Cross Blue Shield Association
- What Happens to Premiums if the Extra Help from the American Rescue Plan Expires? (PDF), U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
- American Rescue Plan: Stories from State-based Marketplaces and Federally-Facilitated Marketplaces (PDF), U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
- What If the American Rescue Plan Act Premium Tax Credits Expire? Coverage and Cost Projections for 2023, Urban Institute
- Falling off the Subsidy Cliff: How ACA Premiums Would Change for People Losing Rescue Plan Subsidies, Kaiser Family Foundation
- Redeterminations and the End of the ARPA Premium Tax Credits, Oliver Wyman
- Health Premiums Will Rise Steeply for Millions if Rescue Plan Tax Credits Expire, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
- The American Rescue Plan’s Premium Tax Credit Expansion — State Policy Considerations, The Brookings Institution
- CT Health Care Affordability Report, (PDF)
- Unless Congress Acts, Health Care Costs Will Soon Skyrocket for People Who Buy Their Own Insurance (PDF), Families USA
- For ACA Enrollees, How Much Premiums Rise Next Year is Mostly up to Congress, KFF
- Millions of Americans Will Pay More for Marketplace Coverage if ARPA Tax Credits Expire, AHIP
News Articles
- Delays Extending the American Rescue Plan’s Health Insurance Subsidies Will Raise Premiums and Reduce Coverage, Health Affairs Forefront, July 5, 2022
- An Obamacare Fiasco Could Blow Up on Democrats Right before the Midterms, Politico, May 20, 2022
- Marketplace officials are in town to stump for insurance subsidies, The Washington Post, May 17, 2022
Tools
LEARN MORE
- Blog: Uncertainty for Marketplace Affordability as Congress Continues to Debate Reconciliation Bill
- Letter to Congressional Leaders from State-Based Marketplaces (PDF)
- Blog: Action Is Needed Soon to Ensure More Affordable Health Insurance Coverage
- Infographic: American Rescue Plan Tax Credits Made Coverage More Affordable and Accessible to Millions
- Press release: New State Data Show ARPA Increased Affordability and Access for Consumers in State-Based Health Insurance Marketplaces
























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